Cameron Larkin .com

AFL Round 21 Predictions

Pies to send Saints to hell

Talked up as a clash of the current day giants but let’s look at some statistics, which tell a different story.

Collingwood has won the previous two clashes, including the grand final replay, by an average of 56 points. If you go back four starts, the Pies again dominated and romped home by 42 points. Here is another interesting fact that must be lingering in the back of the fans minds. Collingwood’s backs have kept Nick Riewoldt goalless in the past two meetings.

Collingwood will not allow complacency to enter their heads leading up to the finals; the black and white by 42.

Hawks to drain the Power from Port

Hawthorn has been in terrific form throughout the year although having lost several key pillars.

Hawthorn and Port Adelaide have had some good battles stemming back to round 18, 2009, but for round 21, 2011, the battle will resemble a slaughter; Hawks by 76 points.

Will it be a Blue day for Fremantle?

Carlton goes into Saturday’s game with 3 consecutive wins; Fremantle convey three straight losses. The last time these two met was round 22 when Carlton came charging but the Dockers were able to hang on by 6 points.

Although played in WA, the Blues head in as favourites and the prize of securing a top-four finish will make them a force to be beat; Carlton by 14 points.

Tale of two stories

Etihad Stadium on Saturday night presents two different stories. For Essendon, a win will keep their chances of playing finals this year in check; a loss for the Western Bulldogs may be that final nail in the coffin for Rodney Eade as head honcho.

In round one the Bombers ran rampant and won 113 to 58, however, I believe the Dogs have what it takes to reverse the result after a very good second half last week; Dogs by 7.

QLD Derby Pt.2

How did Brisbane let it slip last week against the Crows; the game was won? Both Brisbane and Gold Coast suffered defeats last week and together sit near the bottom of the ladder.

An intriguing match but the toll on the young bodies from a long season will be a big influence and the Lions did play good football most of last week; Brisbane by 22.

Eagles aiming for top four and poised to swoop

The troubled Demons play host to West Coast on Sunday; Melbourne have lost their last three whereas the Eagles have been successful in their last three.

West Coast is up there with Hawthorn and Carlton fighting for a top four spot and this will be another stepping stone to get there; West Coast by 38.

Goodes to tame the Tigers

It would have been fitting for the best a field (Goodes) to kick the winning goal last week, but it wasn’t to be. Fast-forward a week and the Brownlow medalist and his Swans are in great shape to overcome Richmond’s challenge.

Eight of the past nine have gone to Sydney and I expect that to continue. Richmond are in terrible form having lost their last six matches; Sydney by 27.

Bicks’ honeymoon to come to an end

The aroma of finals time has set off a spark in the Geelong players and they will very easily ensure Mark Bickley doesn’t notch his third win from as many starts; Cats by 73.


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